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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Southern Focus Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
The live forecast above shows Melbourne’s conditions right now, with today’s top temperature and any rain expected to arrive from the west later.
What will the weather be like in Melbourne today?
Melbourne’s weather is famously changeable, driven by cold fronts sweeping in from the Southern Ocean. The live forecast above gives the current temperature and the chance of showers, but expect cloud to increase and a possible drop in temperature if a front moves through.
- Check the live forecast above for the current temperature and wind direction.
- Afternoon sea breezes often cool the coast, especially in summer.
- Rain is most likely when a low-pressure system sits over the Bass Strait.
- For full hourly details, see the Melbourne Weather page.
Is rain expected this week?
The weekly outlook from the Bureau of Meteorology shows a trough may linger over the city, bringing a few showers midweek before a high-pressure system clears conditions by the weekend.
- Showers are most probable on Wednesday and Thursday, with falls of 2–5 millimetres.
- Saturday and Sunday look drier, with partly cloudy skies and light winds.
- If you are heading to the hills, carry a jacket — temperatures there are often 3–5°C cooler than in the city.
- For broader patterns across the country, visit our Australia weather hub.
Why is Melbourne’s weather so unpredictable?
Melbourne sits where cool Southern Ocean air meets warmer inland air. Cold fronts can arrive suddenly, dropping temperatures by 10°C within an hour and bringing sudden showers.
When is the best time to visit Melbourne for fine weather?
Late summer (February to March) offers the most stable warm days, with lower rainfall than spring. January can be hot but often brings afternoon thunderstorms.
Does Melbourne get heatwaves?
Yes, especially in January and February when northerly winds push hot air from the desert over the city. The Bureau of Meteorology issues severe weather warnings when temperatures are forecast to exceed 40°C.