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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Southern Focus Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Today in Melbourne, expect a mild and partly cloudy day with a moderate chance of a shower or two, as the live forecast above shows the city settling into a typical autumn pattern after a cooler-than-average start to the week.
What’s driving today’s weather?
A weak trough moving across the Bass Strait is drawing in moist air from the southeast, keeping conditions unsettled but not stormy. The morning may start with patchy drizzle, particularly in the eastern suburbs, before clearing to a mix of sun and cloud by midday. Winds are light, shifting from southwesterly to southeasterly through the afternoon, which will keep the top temperature a few degrees below the November average.
For a broader look at conditions across the country, head to our Australia weather hub.
Should I expect any severe weather?
Not today. There are no current severe weather warnings for the Melbourne region. The trough is weak and the rain is light, so you can carry on as usual. If you’re planning a trip interstate, check the severe weather warning page for updates elsewhere.
Will it rain during the AFL or weekend events?
Showers are most likely before 11am, so afternoon matches and outdoor plans should stay dry. The evening will be mostly clear, with only a 10% chance of a lingering drizzle. Bring a light jacket for the cool change.
How does today compare to Melbourne’s November average?
Today’s max is about 2–3°C below the long-term November average of 25.5°C. The cloud cover and cool sea breeze are holding temperatures down. This is a classic ‘cool change’ pattern, common after a warm spell.
Is the air quality affected by the weather?
Air quality is good today. The light winds and scattered showers are keeping dust and pollutants low. No smoke haze or pollen spikes are expected, making it a comfortable day for outdoor walks.