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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Southern Focus Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
Upper Ferntree Gully sits in the Dandenong Ranges foothills, making its weather noticeably cooler and wetter than the Melbourne metropolitan area. The live forecast above captures today’s conditions for this eastern suburb, where elevation and tree cover shape a distinct microclimate year‑round.
How do the Dandenong Ranges affect local conditions?
Upper Ferntree Gully’s position at the base of the escarpment means it regularly intercepts moisture‑laden air from the south and east. This produces more cloud, higher rainfall and a sharper drop in afternoon temperatures than you’d find in the city centre.
- Rainfall averages about 1,100 millimetres annually – roughly double the Melbourne CBD total, with winter and spring the wettest months.
- Minimum temperatures often sit 2–3 °C cooler than the city, especially in autumn and winter when fog and low cloud persist into the morning. The melbourne weather page gives a useful comparison for the broader region.
- During summer, the area can be 3–5 °C cooler on hot days, offering relief, but thunderstorms develop more frequently as northerly winds meet the escarpment. Check the severe weather warning page when storms are forecast.
- The surrounding national park and tree canopy trap moisture, keeping humidity higher than in the cleared plains, which fuels local fog and drizzle events.
What’s the outlook for the coming week?
The live forecast above shows the short‑term trend, but a weather in ferntree gully 10 days view is often the most useful way to plan hikes or outdoor work in this variable climate.
- Southerly changes arrive abruptly here, dropping temperatures 5–8 °C within an hour and bringing gusty conditions on exposed ridges.
- In winter, persistent low cloud can keep daytime temperatures below 10 °C; in summer, afternoon sea‑breezes moderate the heat but can generate isolated showers.
- Use the ferntree gully weather radar from the Bureau to track rain‑bands approaching from Bass Strait – they often intensify as they hit the hills.
Is Upper Ferntree Gully much cooler than the city?
Yes – particularly on summer afternoons and winter mornings. The elevation and dense tree cover can make the area 3–5 °C cooler in the middle of the day, and fog often keeps temperatures lower than the Melbourne CBD until well after sunrise.
When does the area get most of its rain?
Late autumn through to early spring (May–October) is the wettest period, with cold fronts and onshore flow delivering frequent drizzle and steady rain. Summer storms can bring heavy downpours in short bursts, but total rainfall is lower between December and February.
Why does fog form so often here?
Moist air from the coast is forced up against the Dandenong escarpment, where it cools overnight. The tree canopy traps that moisture close to the ground, creating radiation fog that can persist until mid‑morning, especially in autumn and winter.
Sources
- Bureau of Meteorology – bom weather ferntree gully observations and forecasts
- Weatherzone – local radar and 10‑day outlooks
- Elders Weather – seasonal climate summaries for the Dandenong region